Tupi v Coimbra: the model read
Tupi meet Coimbra in the Mineiro - 3 regular season - 4 at Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais. The model makes Coimbra the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 24% TUP, 30% draw, 46% COI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Coimbra, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Coimbra on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Coimbra at 66%; double chance reads Tupi or draw 54%, Coimbra or draw 76%.
Tupi arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ BOA, L 1-2 v Paracatu, W 1-0 v Essube, L 1-3 @ Coimbra.
Coimbra are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Ipatinga, D 0-0 v Valeriodoce, W 2-1 v Villa Nova, L 0-1 @ Democrata SL.
Coimbra hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Coimbra 3-1 Tupi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
