Colima v Durango: the model read
Colima meet Durango in the Liga Premier Serie A apertura - 20 at Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima, Colima. The model makes Durango the most likely outcome at 62%, with the full read 15% COL, 24% draw, 62% DUR.
Durango rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1400. Recent form leans Durango, 78% against 23%. Attacking output favors Durango on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Durango at 81%; double chance reads Colima or draw 38%, Durango or draw 85%.
Colima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Tecos, W 3-1 @ Acatlan, L 0-2 @ Guerreros, D 0-0 v Mineros de Fresnillo.
Durango are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Tepatitlán, D 0-0 v Deportiva Venados, L 1-2 @ Deportiva Venados, W 2-1 v Deportivo Zap.
Durango hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Colima 1-4 Durango.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output