Perugia v Athletic Carpi: the model read
Perugia meet Athletic Carpi in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 27 at Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia. The model makes Perugia the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% PER, 33% draw, 26% ATH.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Perugia, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Perugia on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Perugia at 61%; double chance reads Perugia or draw 74%, Athletic Carpi or draw 59%.
Perugia arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Forli, L 0-1 v Campobasso FC, D 2-2 @ Ternana, D 2-2 v Juventus U23.
Athletic Carpi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cesena, W 3-2 @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937, L 0-1 v Forli, L 0-3 @ Vis Pesaro.
Athletic Carpi hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Perugia 1-1 Athletic Carpi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
