MoroccoTanzania v Morocco: the model read
Tanzania meet Morocco in the African Nations Championship quarter-finals at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam. The model makes Morocco the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 21% TAN, 30% draw, 49% MOR.
Morocco rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1420. Recent form leans Morocco, 80% against 38%. Attacking output favors Morocco on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Morocco at 69%; double chance reads Tanzania or draw 51%, Morocco or draw 79%.
Tanzania arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Mação, L 0-1 v Liechtenstein, L 0-1 @ Morocco, D 1-1 v Tunisia.
Morocco are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada, D 1-1 @ Netherlands, W 4-2 v Haiti.
Morocco hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Morocco 1-0 Tanzania.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
