Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the model read
Nagoya Grampus meet Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Emperor Cup quarter-finals at Toyota Stadium, Toyota. The model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 30% NAG, 28% draw, 42% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1589, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 61% against 48%. Attacking output favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%; double chance reads Nagoya Grampus or draw 58%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw 70%.
Nagoya Grampus arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Consadole Sapporo, L 1-2 @ FC Tokyo, L 1-2 @ Machida Zelvia, D 2-2 v Machida Zelvia.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Verspah Oita, W 3-1 @ NK Slaven Belupo, L 1-5 @ Sturm Graz, W 1-0 @ Kawasaki Frontale.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-2 Nagoya Grampus.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
