Caen II v Bastia II: the model read
Caen II meet Bastia II in the National 3 - Group D group d - 26 at Terrain Annexe 3 du Venoix, Caen. The model makes Bastia II the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% CAE, 30% draw, 38% BAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Bastia II on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans Bastia II at 54%; double chance reads Caen II or draw 62%, Bastia II or draw 68%.
Caen II arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Bastia II, W 2-1 @ Brétigny Foot, W 1-0 v Dives-Cabourg, D 1-1 v Trouville Deauville.
Bastia II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Caen II, L 3-4 v Racing Colombes 92, D 3-3 @ C' Chartres, W 3-2 v Sainte Geneviève.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
