Alençon v Brest II: the model read
Alençon meet Brest II in the National 3 - Group C group c - 26 at Stade Jacques-Fould, Alençon. The model makes Brest II the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 31% ALE, 31% draw, 38% BRE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Alençon on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Brest II at 56%; double chance reads Alençon or draw 62%, Brest II or draw 69%.
Alençon arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Brest II, W 2-1 @ Vitré, W 2-1 v Drapeau Fougères, D 1-1 v Vire.
Brest II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Alençon, W 1-0 v Lannion, W 2-1 @ Rennes II, D 0-0 v Laval II.
Alençon hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alençon 2-0 Brest II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
