Pau II v Agde: the model read
Pau II meet Agde in the National 3 - Group A group a - 26 at Stade Du Hameau Idron 2, Bizanos. The model makes Pau II the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% PAU, 31% draw, 25% AGD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pau II, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Pau II on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Pau II at 64%; double chance reads Pau II or draw 75%, Agde or draw 56%.
Pau II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Agde, W 4-1 @ Colomiers, W 1-0 v Onet-le-Château, L 0-1 v Tarbes.
Agde are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Pau II, W 2-1 v Alberes Argelès, L 0-2 @ Castanet, L 0-3 v Bassin d'Arcachon Sud.
Pau II hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pau II 4-1 Agde.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
