SAG Cestas v Castanet: the model read
SAG Cestas meet Castanet in the National 3 - Group A group a - 25 at Complexe Sportif Du Bouzet 2 - Terrain Annexe, Cestas. The model makes Castanet the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% SAG, 33% draw, 36% CAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Castanet on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Castanet at 54%; double chance reads SAG Cestas or draw 64%, Castanet or draw 69%.
SAG Cestas arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Alberes Argelès, W 1-0 v Castanet, D 2-2 @ Bassin d'Arcachon Sud, D 1-1 v Anglet Genets.
Castanet are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Toulouse II, L 0-1 @ SAG Cestas, W 2-0 v Agde, L 1-2 @ Colomiers.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SAG Cestas 1-0 Castanet.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output