Trofense v AD Marco 09: the model read
Trofense meet AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3 regular season - 17 at Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% TRO, 35% draw, 33% AD .
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 45%. Attacking output favors AD Marco 09 on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans AD Marco 09 at 51%; double chance reads Trofense or draw 67%, AD Marco 09 or draw 68%.
Trofense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Academica, D 1-1 v Guimaraes B, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-1 @ Mafra.
AD Marco 09 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ União de Leiria, D 2-2 @ Paredes, W 1-0 v SC Braga B, W 1-0 v Fafe.
AD Marco 09 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Trofense 0-1 AD Marco 09.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
