Villefranche v Aubagne: the model read
Villefranche meet Aubagne in the National 1 regular season - 18 at Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône. The model makes Villefranche the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% VIL, 30% draw, 31% AUB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1471 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Villefranche, 44% against 32%. Attacking output favors Villefranche on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Villefranche at 55%; double chance reads Villefranche or draw 69%, Aubagne or draw 62%.
Villefranche arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Grenoble, D 2-2 @ Concarneau, L 0-1 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-3 @ Caen.
Aubagne are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Montpellier, W 3-1 v Caen, D 1-1 @ Gobelins, L 1-2 v Stade Briochin.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villefranche 2-1 Aubagne.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
