Costa Rica v Honduras: the model read
Costa Rica meet Honduras in the World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF final round - 6 at Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José. The model makes Costa Rica the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% COS, 29% draw, 33% HON.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 57%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 67%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Costa Rica at 54%; double chance reads Costa Rica or draw 67%, Honduras or draw 62%.
Costa Rica arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.
Honduras are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Argentina, D 2-2 @ Peru, D 0-0 @ Costa Rica, L 0-2 @ Nicaragua.
Costa Rica hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 7 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Costa Rica 0-0 Honduras.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
