HaitiHonduras v Haiti: the model read
Honduras meet Haiti in the World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF final round - 4 at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles, Tegucigalpa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Honduras, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Haiti on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Honduras arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Argentina, D 2-2 @ Peru, D 0-0 @ Costa Rica, L 0-2 @ Nicaragua.
Haiti are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Morocco, L 0-3 @ Brazil, L 0-1 v Scotland, L 1-2 v Peru.
Honduras hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Honduras 3-0 Haiti.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
