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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 · Portugal

Benfica v Moreirense

4-1Endstand· Estádio da Luz, Lisbon· Schiedsrichter: I. Vasilica

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Benfica v Moreirense: the model read

Benfica meet Moreirense in the Primeira Liga regular season - 31 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. The model makes Benfica the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% BEN, 29% draw, 22% MOR.

Benfica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1420. Recent form leans Benfica, 68% against 38%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Benfica at 69%; double chance reads Benfica or draw 78%, Moreirense or draw 51%.

Benfica arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ FC ST. Gallen, W 2-0 v Villarreal, L 1-2 v Flamengo, W 3-1 @ Estoril.

Moreirense are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Santa Clara, D 2-2 v AVS, D 0-0 v AVS, L 0-2 @ Tondela.

Benfica hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Benfica 4-1 Moreirense.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Benfica

DWLWL11-5-4

Erzielt 1.85 · Kassiert 1.05 · Weiße Westen 25% · BTT 70%

  • LAFC ST. Gallen1-2
  • WHVillarreal2-0
  • LHFlamengo1-2
  • WAEstoril3-1
  • DHSC Braga2-2

Moreirense

WLDDL5-5-10

Erzielt 0.85 · Kassiert 1.45 · Weiße Westen 20% · BTT 50%

  • LASanta Clara1-2
  • DHAVS2-2
  • DHAVS0-0
  • LATondela0-2
  • WHEstrela3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

BenficarecordMoreirense
5
0
5 draws

Goals

20-8

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Benfica

Recent
WWWDWD
Wins 5Goals 20-8

Biggest win 4-0

Moreirense

Recent
LLLDLD
Wins 0Goals 8-20
  • Benfica4-1Moreirense
  • Moreirense0-4Benfica
  • Benfica3-2Moreirense
  • Moreirense1-1Benfica
  • Benfica3-0Moreirense
  • Moreirense0-0Benfica
  • Moreirense1-1Benfica
  • Benfica1-1Moreirense
  • Moreirense1-2Benfica
  • Moreirense1-1Benfica

Managers

Bruno Lage

Portugal · 49

In charge since 2024 · 6 clubs managed

  • Botafogo2023–2023
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers2021–2022
  • Benfica2019–2020
  • Benfica II2018–2019

Leandro Mendes

Portugal · 35

In charge since 2016

Nur echte Daten: aktuelle Ergebnisse, Direkter Vergleich und Marktquoten. Keine Modellausgabe für Teams ohne Lemeister-Priors.