Erzgebirge Aue v MSV Duisburg: the model read
Erzgebirge Aue meet MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga regular season - 37 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes MSV Duisburg the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 33% ERZ, 27% draw, 40% MSV.
MSV Duisburg rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1456. Recent form leans MSV Duisburg, 65% against 42%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 87%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans MSV Duisburg at 55%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 60%, MSV Duisburg or draw 67%.
Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
MSV Duisburg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Beerschot VA, W 4-1 @ Bonner SC, W 1-0 @ FC OSS, W 3-2 @ NEC Nijmegen.
MSV Duisburg hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Erzgebirge Aue 0-0 MSV Duisburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
