Erzgebirge Aue v SV Wehen: the model read
Erzgebirge Aue meet SV Wehen in the 3. Liga regular season - 35 at Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue. The model makes Erzgebirge Aue the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ERZ, 28% draw, 36% SV .
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 48%. Attacking output favors Erzgebirge Aue on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Erzgebirge Aue at 51%; double chance reads Erzgebirge Aue or draw 64%, SV Wehen or draw 63%.
Erzgebirge Aue arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v FC Schalke 04, W 2-0 v Kladno, W 7-1 v VfL Halle, W 3-0 @ ZFC Meuselwitz.
SV Wehen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ FC Liefering, W 2-0 v Fagiano Okayama, W 1-0 v FC 08 Homburg, W 2-0 v Hoffenheim II.
SV Wehen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Erzgebirge Aue 2-2 SV Wehen.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
