Newry City AFC v Lisburn Distillery: the model read
Newry City AFC meet Lisburn Distillery in the Premier Intermediate League regular season - 4 at The Showgrounds, Newry. The model makes Newry City AFC the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% NEW, 27% draw, 27% LIS.
Newry City AFC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1565 to 1431. Recent form leans Newry City AFC, 58% against 38%. Attacking output favors Lisburn Distillery on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Newry City AFC at 63%; double chance reads Newry City AFC or draw 73%, Lisburn Distillery or draw 54%.
Newry City AFC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Dollingstown, D 0-0 v Coagh United, W 3-2 @ Dergview, L 0-1 v Strabane Athletic.
Lisburn Distillery are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 9 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Moyola Park, D 4-4 @ Strabane Athletic, L 1-3 v Ballymacash Rangers, D 3-3 v Knockbreda.
Newry City AFC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lisburn Distillery 0-3 Newry City AFC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
