FC St. Pauli v SC Freiburg: the model read
FC St. Pauli meet SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga regular season - 27 at Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg. The model makes SC Freiburg the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 31% FC , 28% draw, 41% SC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors SC Freiburg on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans SC Freiburg at 58%; double chance reads FC St. Pauli or draw 59%, SC Freiburg or draw 69%.
FC St. Pauli arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HNK Gorica, W 4-1 @ SV Babelsberg 03, W 3-1 @ Kickers Emden, W 6-2 @ Altona 93.
SC Freiburg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Aston Villa, W 4-1 v RB Leipzig, L 2-3 @ Hamburger SV, W 3-1 v SC Braga.
SC Freiburg hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC St. Pauli 1-2 SC Freiburg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
