Cambuur v Waalwijk: the model read
Cambuur meet Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 28 at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. The model makes Waalwijk the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 35% CAM, 28% draw, 37% WAA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 60%. Attacking output favors Cambuur on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Waalwijk at 51%; double chance reads Cambuur or draw 63%, Waalwijk or draw 65%.
Cambuur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Roda, L 2-3 @ Excelsior, W 2-1 v Vitesse, L 1-3 @ De Graafschap.
Waalwijk are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Volendam, D 1-1 v Alemannia Aachen, D 0-0 @ Kozakken Boys, D 1-1 v Jong AZ.
Waalwijk hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cambuur 1-1 Waalwijk.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
