Dordrecht v Helmond Sport: the model read
Dordrecht meet Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 22 at M-Scores Stadion, Dordrecht. The model makes Dordrecht the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% DOR, 30% draw, 25% HEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dordrecht, 50% against 29%. Attacking output favors Dordrecht on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Dordrecht at 64%; double chance reads Dordrecht or draw 75%, Helmond Sport or draw 55%.
Dordrecht arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Lusail City, W 4-1 v Borussia Dortmund II, L 0-2 v Excelsior, L 0-6 v Feyenoord.
Helmond Sport are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Taawon, L 0-2 v KVC Westerlo, D 1-1 @ Gemert, L 1-2 v AEK Larnaca.
Dordrecht hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dordrecht 3-0 Helmond Sport.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
