Chacaritas v Leones del Norte: the model read
Chacaritas meet Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 18 at Estadio Ciudad de Pelileo, Pelileo. The model makes Leones del Norte the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 25% CHA, 31% draw, 45% LEO.
Leones del Norte rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Leones del Norte, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors Leones del Norte on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Leones del Norte at 65%; double chance reads Chacaritas or draw 55%, Leones del Norte or draw 75%.
Chacaritas arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Imbabura, L 0-1 v Vargas Torres, L 0-4 @ Atlético Vinotinto, D 0-0 @ Cumbayá.
Leones del Norte are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, D 1-1 v Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 @ LDU de Quito, D 1-1 v Deportivo Cuenca.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chacaritas 2-1 Leones del Norte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
