Honda Lock v Maruyasu Okazaki: the model read
Honda Lock meet Maruyasu Okazaki in the Japan Football League regular season - 13 at Hinata Miyazaki Prefectural Sports Park Hinata Athletic Stadium, Miyazaki. The model makes Honda Lock the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% HON, 31% draw, 34% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Honda Lock on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Honda Lock at 51%; double chance reads Honda Lock or draw 66%, Maruyasu Okazaki or draw 64%.
Honda Lock arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Maruyasu Okazaki, L 0-1 v Honda, W 2-1 @ Okinawa SV, L 1-4 v Reinmeer Aomori.
Maruyasu Okazaki are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Honda Lock, D 1-1 @ Porvenir Asuka, D 1-1 @ Biwako Shiga, L 0-1 v Tokyo Musashino City.
Maruyasu Okazaki hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Maruyasu Okazaki 3-2 Honda Lock.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
