Equatorial Guinea v Sudan: the model read
Equatorial Guinea meet Sudan in the Africa Cup of Nations group stage - 2 at Stade Mohammed V, Casablanca.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Equatorial Guinea, 36% against 28%. Attacking output favors Equatorial Guinea on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.4 per match.
Equatorial Guinea arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Comoros, D 1-1 v Madagascar, W 1-0 @ Kyrgyzstan, L 1-3 v Algeria.
Sudan are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Senegal, L 0-2 v Burkina Faso, W 1-0 @ Equatorial Guinea, L 0-3 @ Algeria.
Equatorial Guinea hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
