EC Lemense v União São João: the model read
EC Lemense meet União São João in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 14 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% EC , 34% draw, 33% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors União São João on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans União São João at 51%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 67%, União São João or draw 68%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
União São João are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Santos, D 2-2 v EC São Bernardo, L 0-3 @ Paulista, W 2-1 v Francana.
União São João hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: EC Lemense 0-1 União São João.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
