EC Lemense v Rio Preto: the model read
EC Lemense meet Rio Preto in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 9 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes Rio Preto the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 26% EC , 33% draw, 41% RIO.
Rio Preto rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1443. Recent form leans Rio Preto, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Rio Preto on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Rio Preto at 61%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 59%, Rio Preto or draw 74%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
Rio Preto are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Portuguesa Santista, L 0-1 v Portuguesa Santista, D 0-0 v Uniao Barbarense, W 3-0 @ Uniao Barbarense.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: EC Lemense 1-0 Rio Preto.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
