EC Lemense v Francana: the model read
EC Lemense meet Francana in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 5 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes EC Lemense the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% EC , 34% draw, 31% FRA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 33%. Attacking output favors Francana on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans EC Lemense at 52%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 69%, Francana or draw 65%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
Francana are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Marília, W 3-0 v Rio Claro, L 1-2 @ União São João, L 0-1 @ Portuguesa Santista.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2025: EC Lemense 1-1 Francana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
