Tupynambás v Uberaba: the model read
Tupynambás meet Uberaba in the Mineiro - 3 semi-finals at Estádio Municipal Radialista Mário Helênio, Juiz de Fora, Minas Gerais. The model makes Tupynambás the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% TUP, 32% draw, 32% UBE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Uberaba, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Tupynambás on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Tupynambás at 53%; double chance reads Tupynambás or draw 68%, Uberaba or draw 64%.
Tupynambás arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Uberaba, L 0-1 @ Uberaba, D 1-1 v Contagem, D 0-0 @ Contagem.
Uberaba are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Mamoré, W 3-2 @ Caldense, W 1-0 v Mamoré, W 3-1 v BOA.
Uberaba hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Tupynambás 0-1 Uberaba.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
