Butrinti Sarandë defeated Turbina Cërrik 2-0 at Stadiumi Andon Lapa in Group B of the 2nd Division, a result that aligned precisely with the pre-match forecast. The Lemeister model had projected a 2-0 home victory and given Butrinti a 47 per cent win probability, and the home side delivered exactly that outcome while keeping a clean sheet. Turbina Cërrik, handed only a 24 per cent chance of victory by the Lemeister model, were unable to find the net or alter the expected course of the fixture.
The data provided confirms the final scoreline but lists no specific goals, cards, shots, passes, or player ratings. This absence of detailed statistics means the match cannot be broken down by possession percentages, shot volume, expected goals, or individual performances. What is clear is that Butrinti scored twice without reply, and the clean sheet indicates defensive organisation from the home side. Turbina Cërrik, despite their low projected win probability, were unable to create enough to trouble the Butrinti goal or force a save that would be recorded in the available numbers.
Without individual player ratings or event data, the analysis is necessarily constrained to the scoreline and the model's projection. Butrinti Sarandë's victory moves them to two goals scored and none conceded in this fixture, a straightforward result that reflects their status as favourites. For Turbina Cërrik, the 2-0 defeat continues a challenging run in Group B, where they have now failed to score in this meeting. The match appears to have been a low-event contest with limited statistical variation, with the home side taking their opportunities when they arose.
The Lemeister model's forecast proved accurate to the exact scoreline, underlining the value of the pre-match projections for this encounter. Butrinti were assigned a 47 per cent win probability, comfortably the highest of the three outcomes, and the 2-0 result matched the projected score exactly. Turbina Cërrik's 24 per cent chance of victory was always a long shot, and the away side were unable to defy the numbers. The draw probability of 28 per cent also failed to materialise, as Butrinti imposed themselves from the outset.
In the context of Group B, this result strengthens Butrinti Sarandë's position in the upper half of the table, keeping them in contention for promotion or a playoff spot. A clean sheet and two goals at home provide a solid foundation for the run-in, though the lack of granular data prevents any assessment of whether the performance was dominant or narrow. Turbina Cërrik, meanwhile, remain in the lower reaches of the group, with their away record taking another hit. They have now failed to score in this fixture and will need to address their offensive output if they are to climb away from the relegation zone in the remaining group fixtures.
The performance of Butrinti's goalkeeping and defensive units, though unspecified in the data, was clearly sufficient to keep a clean sheet against a Turbina side that struggled to impose themselves. Without shots on target or corner counts, it is impossible to know whether the home defence was tested or largely untroubled. The match officials, unnamed in the data, issued no cards, suggesting a contest that was disciplined rather than fractious. For Butrinti, this was a professional, straightforward home win as predicted. For Turbina Cërrik, the focus must now turn to their next fixture, where they will seek to improve on a return of zero goals in this outing.
