USA W v Japan W: the model read
USA W meet Japan W in the Olympics Women quarter-finals at Parc des Princes, Paris. The model makes USA W the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% USA, 30% draw, 25% JAP.
USA W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1771 to 1604. Recent form leans USA W, 84% against 63%. Attacking output favors USA W on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans USA W at 65%; double chance reads USA W or draw 75%, Japan W or draw 55%.
USA W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Brazil W, L 1-2 @ Brazil W, W 3-0 v Japan W, L 0-1 v Japan W.
Japan W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
