Gueugnon v Auxerre II: the model read
Gueugnon meet Auxerre II in the National 3 - Group G group g - 20 at Stade Jean Laville, Gueugnon. The model makes Auxerre II the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% GUE, 33% draw, 40% AUX.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Auxerre II, 40% against 25%. Attacking output favors Auxerre II on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Auxerre II at 59%; double chance reads Gueugnon or draw 60%, Auxerre II or draw 73%.
Gueugnon arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Louhans-Cuiseaux, W 3-1 v Montceau, D 1-1 v St Maur Lusitanos, D 1-1 @ Racing Colombes 92.
Auxerre II are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Hauts Lyonnais, D 0-0 v Jura Sud Foot, D 2-2 @ Moulins-Yzeure Foot 03, L 0-1 v Saran Municipal.
Auxerre II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Gueugnon 0-0 Auxerre II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
