Zwarte Leeuw v Geel: the model read
Zwarte Leeuw meet Geel in the Third Amateur Division - VFV B vv b - 20 at Louis van Roeystadion, Rijkevorsel. The model makes Geel the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% ZWA, 31% draw, 37% GEE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 48%. Attacking output favors Geel on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Geel at 53%; double chance reads Zwarte Leeuw or draw 63%, Geel or draw 67%.
Zwarte Leeuw arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Heist, W 3-1 @ Olympia Wijgmaal, W 6-2 @ Bevel, L 0-1 v City Pirates Antwerpen.
Geel are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Thes Sport, L 1-2 @ K. Kontich, W 2-0 v Eendracht Wervik, W 2-0 v Betekom.
Geel hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Zwarte Leeuw 0-2 Geel.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
