Famalicao v Estoril: the model read
Famalicao meet Estoril in the Primeira Liga regular season - 29 at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão. The model makes Famalicao the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% FAM, 30% draw, 24% EST.
Famalicao rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1637 to 1443. Recent form leans Famalicao, 72% against 40%. Attacking output favors Estoril on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Famalicao at 66%; double chance reads Famalicao or draw 76%, Estoril or draw 54%.
Famalicao arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Arouca, D 0-0 v Penafiel, W 1-0 v Lusitânia Lourosa, W 5-0 v Famalicão U23.
Estoril are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Alverca, W 3-0 v Atlético CP, L 1-3 v Benfica, D 1-1 @ Alverca.
Famalicao hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estoril 0-1 Famalicao.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
