De Graafschap v Telstar: the model read
De Graafschap meet Telstar in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 37 at Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem. The model makes Telstar the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 35% DE , 27% draw, 38% TEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 85%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Telstar at 52%; double chance reads De Graafschap or draw 62%, Telstar or draw 65%.
De Graafschap arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Telstar are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 6-3 @ De Graafschap, L 0-1 @ Sparta Rotterdam, L 1-2 @ Almere City FC, W 2-1 @ FC Volendam.
De Graafschap hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 3-6 Telstar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
