Cambuur v De Graafschap: the model read
Cambuur meet De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 32 at Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden. The model makes Cambuur the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% CAM, 27% draw, 33% DE .
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cambuur, 65% against 53%. Attacking output favors De Graafschap on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Cambuur at 55%; double chance reads Cambuur or draw 67%, De Graafschap or draw 60%.
Cambuur arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Roda, L 2-3 @ Excelsior, W 2-1 v Vitesse, L 1-3 @ De Graafschap.
De Graafschap are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Telstar, L 1-2 v AEK Athens FC, L 2-7 @ Heerenveen, W 2-1 @ Utrecht.
Cambuur hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: De Graafschap 3-1 Cambuur.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
