Venezia v Cremonese: the model read
Venezia meet Cremonese in the Serie B promotion play-offs - final at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia. The model makes Venezia the most likely outcome at 61%, with the full read 61% VEN, 24% draw, 15% CRE.
Venezia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1400. Recent form leans Venezia, 83% against 30%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.5 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Venezia at 80%; double chance reads Venezia or draw 85%, Cremonese or draw 39%.
Venezia arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Galatasaray, W 8-0 v Vis Pesaro, W 4-2 v Dolomiti Bellunesi, W 2-0 v Palermo.
Cremonese are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cittadella, W 4-0 v Giana Erminio, L 1-4 v Como, W 1-0 @ Udinese.
Venezia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Venezia 1-0 Cremonese.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
