Suez v Sporting Alexandria: the model read
Suez meet Sporting Alexandria in the Second League - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 5 at Egyptian Army Stadium, Suez. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 29% SUE, 36% draw, 35% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sporting Alexandria, 33% against 23%. Attacking output favors Suez on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans Sporting Alexandria at 54%; double chance reads Suez or draw 65%, Sporting Alexandria or draw 71%.
Suez arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kahraba Ismailia, L 0-2 v El Seka El Hadid, L 0-3 @ Abu Qair Semad, L 0-2 v La Viena FC.
Sporting Alexandria are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Itesalat, D 2-2 v Proxy, L 0-1 @ El Dakhleya, D 2-2 v Olympic El Qanah.
Sporting Alexandria hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sporting Alexandria 1-1 Suez.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
