Juventud v Uruguay Montevideo: the model read
Juventud meet Uruguay Montevideo in the Segunda División 2nd phase - 15 at Estadio Parque Artigas, Paysandú. The model makes Juventud the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% JUV, 32% draw, 33% URU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Juventud on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Juventud at 51%; double chance reads Juventud or draw 67%, Uruguay Montevideo or draw 65%.
Juventud arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Albion FC, L 1-3 v Atletico Torque, D 1-1 @ Danubio, L 1-2 @ Club Nacional.
Uruguay Montevideo are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v CA River Plate, D 1-1 v Oriental, L 0-1 @ Colón, W 3-2 v Fenix.
Uruguay Montevideo hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Uruguay Montevideo 1-1 Juventud.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
