Japan W v Korea DPR W: the model read
Japan W meet Korea DPR W in the Olympics Women - Qualification Asia finals at Japan National Stadium, Tokyo. The model makes Korea DPR W the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% JAP, 29% draw, 47% KOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Korea DPR W, 75% against 63%. Attacking output favors Korea DPR W on expected goals, 5.5 to 2.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Korea DPR W at 66%; double chance reads Japan W or draw 53%, Korea DPR W or draw 75%.
Japan W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.
Korea DPR W are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Chinese Taipei W, L 1-2 @ Australia W, L 1-2 v China W, W 5-0 @ Bangladesh W.
Japan W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Japan W 2-1 Korea DPR W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
