Stade de Mbour v Casa Sport: the model read
Stade de Mbour meet Casa Sport in the Ligue 1 regular season - 11 at Stade Caroline Faye, Mbour. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 26% STA, 41% draw, 33% CAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Casa Sport on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 8%, over 2.5 goals around 3%. Draw no bet leans Casa Sport at 56%; double chance reads Stade de Mbour or draw 67%, Casa Sport or draw 74%.
Stade de Mbour arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gorée, L 0-2 v Guédiawaye, L 0-2 @ Teungueth, W 2-0 @ DSC.
Casa Sport are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v DSC, D 0-0 @ Jaraaf, W 1-0 v Pikine, W 3-0 @ Sonacos.
Casa Sport hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casa Sport 1-1 Stade de Mbour.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
