Ivory Coast v Kenya: the model read
Ivory Coast meet Kenya in the World Cup - Qualification Africa group stage - 10 at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara, Abidjan. The model makes Ivory Coast the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% IVO, 30% draw, 24% KEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1573, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ivory Coast, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Ivory Coast on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Ivory Coast at 65%; double chance reads Ivory Coast or draw 76%, Kenya or draw 54%.
Ivory Coast arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Norway, W 2-0 @ Curaçao, L 1-2 @ Germany, W 1-0 v Ecuador.
Kenya are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.
Ivory Coast hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Ivory Coast 3-0 Kenya.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
