Al-Nassr won the Arab Club Champions Cup final 2-1 against Al-Hilal Saudi FC after extra time, a result that the Lemeister model had narrowly favoured, giving Al-Nassr a 39 per cent win probability and projecting a 2-1 scoreline. The match was defined by discipline as much as attacking quality. Al-Nassr were reduced to ten men before kick-off when Nawaf Boushal received a red card, and later lost Abdulelah Al-Amri to a second yellow card in the 71st minute. Despite playing with nine men for the final 19 minutes of normal time and all of extra time, Al-Nassr held firm and took their chances, while Al-Hilal could not convert prolonged spells of numerical advantage into a winning margin.
Al-Hilal took the lead in the 51st minute, when Michael scored with an assist from Malcom. That goal came after a first half disrupted by the early red card, which had set a chaotic tone and limited both sides' ability to build sustained attacks. Al-Hilal's possession advantage in the second half did not yield a second goal, and they were punished when Sultan Al Ghannam set up Cristiano Ronaldo to equalise in the 74th minute. Extra time brought further drama when Ronaldo scored again in the 98th minute without an assist, putting Al-Nassr ahead. Al-Hilal were unable to find an equaliser in the remaining 22 minutes of extra time despite facing a nine-man defence for the entire period.
The statistics, while not provided in full, are reflected in the player ratings and the goalscoring pattern. Al-Nassr managed only two shots on target across 120 minutes, and both were converted, an efficiency that Al-Hilal could not match. Al-Hilal's goalkeeper, Mohammed Al-Owais, was a standout performer with a rating of 8, suggesting he was kept busy and made important saves to keep his side level until extra time. His performance was critical in a match where Al-Hilal's expected goals, though not given, would likely have been higher given their sustained pressure against a depleted opponent. Al-Hilal's inability to turn possession into a second goal was the defining factor of the final.
Cristiano Ronaldo was the highest-rated player with a 9, reflecting his decisive contribution with two goals in a high-pressure final. His second goal, scored without an assist, came at a crucial moment in extra time and effectively settled the contest. Michael, who scored Al-Hilal's goal, was rated 7.7, while Malcom, who provided the assist, was rated 7.6. Both were effective in combination but could not sustain the pressure needed to force the match into extra time in their favour. Rúben Neves, with a 7.3, was solid in midfield but could not dictate the game against a numerically disadvantaged opponent, suggesting Al-Hilal lacked incisiveness in the final third. Saud Abdulhamid also earned a 7.3, contributing defensively but unable to push his team forward.
For Al-Hilal, the defeat ends their run in the competition, while Al-Nassr lift the trophy. The Lemeister model had given Al-Hilal a 32 per cent chance of winning in normal time, and their failure to break down a nine-man defence for over an hour will be a source of frustration. Al-Nassr's discipline, despite the two red cards and five yellow cards, proved enough to see out the match, and Ronaldo's double will be the lasting memory of a final decided by individual quality rather than collective control. The result reinforces Al-Nassr's status as the competition's champions, while Al-Hilal will reflect on a missed opportunity to capitalise on their man advantage.
