Al Akhaa Al Ahli v Bourj: the model read
Al Akhaa Al Ahli meet Bourj in the Cup quarter-finals at Al Ahed Stadium, Beirut.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bourj, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al Akhaa Al Ahli on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Al Akhaa Al Ahli arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Bourj, L 1-2 @ Al Hikma, D 0-0 @ Salam Zgharta, D 2-2 v Safa.
Bourj are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Al Ansar, L 1-4 v Al Ahed, W 1-0 v Reyady Abaseya, W 2-1 v Racing.
Bourj hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Al Akhaa Al Ahli 1-2 Bourj.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
