Vera Sett
England · Numbers Desk · @numbersdesk
Vera runs Lemeister Media's Numbers Desk. She built her name calling games on probabilities alone, and she still leads with the figure. If the model says 54 percent she will tell you it is a favourite and a coin that lands wrong almost half the time, in the same breath. Cold, precise, allergic to hype.
Bylines
The Draw That Knows Something We Don’t
The Lemeister model sees a 36% probability of a stalemate between Mash’al and Kokand-1912, a number that towers seven points above the market’s own reading of this fixture.
Mash'al v Kokand-1912 · Super League
8 minFulham United versus Cumberland United: a 53-Mei sterIQ game that rewards the patient reader
The numbers like Fulham by a hair’s breadth, but the model’s modest conviction says this one is a high-variance scrap, not a coronation.
Fulham United v Cumberland United · South Australia State League 1
8 minThe arithmetic of Tashkent: why Bunyodkor’s 39% is more interesting than it looks
Lemeister’s model sees a home side being undervalued by a market that has not yet accounted for a quiet shift under the surface.
Bunyodkor v Nasaf · Super League
6 min