Switzerland v Colombia

Switzerland meet Colombia in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 16 at BC Place, Vancouver. The model makes Colombia the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% SUI, 31% draw, 37% COL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1890 to 1920, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 70%. Attacking output favors Colombia on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Switzerland 0-1 Colombia, from expected goals of 1.1 to 1.4.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Colombia at 53%; double chance reads Switzerland or draw 63%, Colombia or draw 67%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.