Switzerland v Canada

Switzerland meet Canada in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group b at BC Place, Vancouver. The model makes Switzerland the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SUI, 31% draw, 33% CAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1890 to 1840, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 64%. Attacking output favors Switzerland on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Switzerland 1-0 Canada, from expected goals of 1.4 to 1.3.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Switzerland at 52%; double chance reads Switzerland or draw 67%, Canada or draw 64%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.