Panama v England

Panama meet England in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group l at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The model makes England the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% PAN, 28% draw, 49% ENG.

England rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2040 to 1730. Recent form leans England, 72% against 56%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Panama 0-2 England, from expected goals of 0.7 to 2.3.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans England at 68%; double chance reads Panama or draw 51%, England or draw 77%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.