Norway v Senegal

Norway meet Senegal in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group i at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The model makes Norway the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% NOR, 30% draw, 33% SEN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1880 to 1850, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 66%. Attacking output favors Norway on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Norway 1-0 Senegal, from expected goals of 1.5 to 1.3.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Norway at 52%; double chance reads Norway or draw 67%, Senegal or draw 64%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.