DR Congo v Uzbekistan

DR Congo meet Uzbekistan in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group k at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. The model makes DR Congo the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% COD, 31% draw, 33% UZB.

The baseline ratings are close, 1760 to 1750, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 58%. Attacking output favors DR Congo on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Model score projection: most likely DR Congo 1-0 Uzbekistan, from expected goals of 1.3 to 1.1.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans DR Congo at 53%; double chance reads DR Congo or draw 67%, Uzbekistan or draw 64%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.