Brazil v Haiti

Brazil meet Haiti in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group c at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. The model makes Brazil the most likely outcome at 55%, with the full read 55% BRA, 26% draw, 19% HAI.

Brazil rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 2030 to 1660. Recent form leans Brazil, 76% against 50%. Attacking output favors Brazil on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Brazil 3-0 Haiti, from expected goals of 3.0 to 0.6.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 43%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans Brazil at 74%; double chance reads Brazil or draw 81%, Haiti or draw 45%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.