Algeria v Austria

Algeria meet Austria in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group j at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. The model makes Austria the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% ALG, 31% draw, 37% AUT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1820 to 1860, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 68%. Attacking output favors Austria on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Algeria 0-1 Austria, from expected goals of 1.2 to 1.4.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Austria at 53%; double chance reads Algeria or draw 63%, Austria or draw 67%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.